USMexPAT is a web-based analysis tool that quantifies the economic and social impacts of U.S.-Mexico policy initiatives at local, regional and transnational levels.

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US-Mexico Policy Analysis Tool

Designed for state and national policymakers, academics and casual users alike, USMexPAT offers data-based predictions of policy impact to facilitate strategic decision-making at a regional and national level.

The tool utilizes a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model, and operates in accordance with the neoclassical view of economics favored by the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank.

USMexPAT currently offers comparative static estimates (i.e. percent changes) for user-defined inputs in four policy areas: energy reform, border wait times, education reform, and labor mobility.

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Data Visualization Tool

The data visualization tool offers a snapshot of demographic, socioeconomic, economic and trade indicators for both the U.S. and Mexico, with particular emphasis on the border region’s states, counties and municipalities.

Indicators such as GDP, educational attainment, poverty rates, unemployment and inflation are collated from an extensive range of U.S. and Mexican government sources, for display in both chart and tabular form, to facilitate comparisons at a state and local level. Data is provided for single years and, where possible, over time.

Updated on a biannual basis, the data visualization tool is optimized for, and therefore best viewed in, the Google Chrome browser.

Open Data Viz Tool

About

ASU-Mexico Initiative

USMexPAT is a cornerstone of the ASU-Mexico Initiative, the objectives of which are:

  • To promote trade and economic development between the United States and Mexico.
  • To facilitate decision making through the analysis of potential bi-national, national and regional policies.
  • To maximize the economic prosperity of the United States and Mexico, with a particular focus on the 10-state border region.
Background Reports
Data
Research Team
  • Dr. Dennis Hoffman, Center Director
  • Dr. Tim James, Director of Research & Consulting
  • Dr. Anthony Evans, Project Manager
  • Tom Rex, Chief Data Analyst
  • Dr. Kent Hill, Principal Research Economist
  • Dr. Jose Mendez, Principal Research Economist
  • Dr. Alejandro Diaz-Bautista, Mexico Economist
  • Dr. Noe Fuentes, Mexico Economist
  • Eva Madly, Research Economist
  • Robert Row, Economic Modeler
  • Melissa Gamez, Researcher
  • Cary Kelly, Research Assistant
  • Angela Phillips, Administrator
Seidman Research Institute

Established in 1985, the Seidman Research Institute serves as a center for applied business research, and also offers consultancy services for local, national, and international clients.

With distinguished faculty from the W. P. Carey School of Business, a staff of experienced economists and marketers, and tools that support sophisticated statistical modeling, Seidman offers a host of economic research and business consulting services including:

  • Business development
  • Economic impact analyses
  • Fiscal studies
  • Market research
  • Revenue maximization
  • Strategic analyses

To find out more, visit the Seidman web site.

Documentation

The papers below demonstrate the potential of the Policy Analysis Tool:

USMexPAT utilizes a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to estimate its results. Developed specifically for USMexPAT, this CGE model uses as key inputs changes in employment, investment, trade flows, quantities and prices to estimate national economic impacts.

USMexPAT’s CGE model is based in part on World Input-Output Data (WIOD) for the U.S. and Mexico, which consists of a 35 x 35 sector matrix.

Simultaneously, to calculate impacts at a micro level, the research team created an input-output model for the 4 U.S. and 6 Mexican states. This is based on commercial IMPLAN models for the U.S., supplemented by similar models developed by the Mexican partners for Baja California, Chihuahua, Coahuila, Nuevo Leon, Sonora, and Tamaulipas. The input-output model enables USMexPAT to estimate 3 sets of results for each policy simulation at a regional/local level. One set of results is offered for all 4 U.S. border states; a second set of results for all 6 Mexican border states; and a final set of results for all 10 U.S. and Mexican border states.

The input-output estimates are expressed in terms of output, employment, and labor income, with a particular focus on three sectors: agriculture, manufacturing, and services.